Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.132071 0.155166 0.180962 0.211894 0.247961 0.288673 0.338108
2025-11-23 0.094955 0.123903 0.159621 0.206861 0.267639 0.343150 0.444057
2025-11-30 0.077130 0.108840 0.150973 0.210899 0.293804 0.404322 0.562740
2025-12-07 0.063982 0.096323 0.141997 0.210961 0.312218 0.455188 0.672164
2025-12-14 0.053050 0.084522 0.131403 0.205978 0.321284 0.492406 0.765255
2025-12-21 0.045657 0.076534 0.124776 0.205173 0.335338 0.537252 0.873606
2025-12-28 0.041421 0.072708 0.123747 0.212462 0.362179 0.603854 1.022586
2026-01-04 0.038286 0.070131 0.124196 0.221886 0.393169 0.679945 1.195056
2026-01-11 0.034943 0.066637 0.122508 0.227215 0.417511 0.747225 1.359789
2026-01-18 0.031321 0.062071 0.118261 0.227293 0.432329 0.799325 1.503320
2026-01-25 0.027215 0.055983 0.110409 0.219634 0.431908 0.823953 1.599500
2026-02-01 0.023609 0.050340 0.102632 0.211018 0.428418 0.842148 1.685024
2026-02-08 0.021242 0.047035 0.099294 0.211346 0.443647 0.899802 1.858082
2026-02-15 0.018542 0.042650 0.093252 0.205511 0.446092 0.933571 1.989614
2026-02-22 0.017076 0.040710 0.091986 0.209429 0.469046 1.010736 2.218317
2026-03-01 0.015475 0.038204 0.089137 0.209480 0.483656 1.072233 2.421310
2026-03-08 0.013711 0.035034 0.084362 0.204530 0.486531 1.109016 2.575146
2026-03-15 0.012446 0.032868 0.081571 0.203730 0.498612 1.167035 2.782612
2026-03-22 0.011810 0.032173 0.082144 0.210969 0.530284 1.272315 3.109738
2026-03-29 0.011339 0.031829 0.083516 0.220328 0.568177 1.396023 3.494042
2026-04-05 0.010684 0.030894 0.083284 0.225621 0.596719 1.500904 3.845346
2026-04-12 0.009837 0.029299 0.081142 0.225698 0.612112 1.575853 4.132007
2026-04-19 0.008741 0.026826 0.076344 0.218092 0.606669 1.598884 4.291329